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How to Calculate Probability of Winning the Lottery

Last Updated : 13 Feb, 2024
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Answer: To calculate the probability of winning the lottery, divide the number of winning combinations by the total number of possible combinations.

To calculate the probability of winning the lottery, you need to understand the basics of probability theory and combinatorics.

In most lottery systems, players must select a specific combination of numbers from a predetermined range. For example, let’s consider a simple lottery where players must choose 6 numbers from a range of 1 to 49.

The probability of winning the lottery can be calculated using the formula:

P(\text{Winning}) = \frac{\text{Number of Winning Combinations}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Combinations}}

1. Number of Winning Combinations: This refers to the number of unique combinations of numbers that constitute a winning ticket. In a 6/49 lottery, where players choose 6 numbers, the number of winning combinations is always 1, as there’s only one winning combination drawn by the lottery organization.

2. Total Number of Possible Combinations: This refers to the total number of unique combinations that players can choose. In a 6/49 lottery, where players choose 6 numbers from a pool of 49, the total number of possible combinations can be calculated using the binomial coefficient formula “n choose k”.

Let’s calculate it:

Total Number of Possible Combinations = 49! / (6! × (49-6)!)

= 49 × 48 × 47 × 46 × 45 × 44 / (6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1)

= 13,983,816

So, in a 6/49 lottery, there are 13,983,816 possible combinations of 6 numbers.

Now, we can calculate the probability of winning:

P(Winning) = 1 / 13,983,816

This means that the chance of winning the lottery with a single ticket in a 6/49 game is approximately 1 in 13.98 million.

It’s important to note that this probability remains constant regardless of how many tickets are purchased or how frequently the lottery is played. Each ticket has the same chance of winning, and the probability of winning does not increase with the number of tickets purchased.


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